Lectures since 2010: Click here.

Lectures through 2009:

• Info-Gap Theory and Applications: Four Lectures, Dept. of Mathematical Informatics, University of Tokyo. 4 August 2009. pdf abstract.

• Value at Risk, Info-Gaps, and Engineering Decision Making, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne. 13 July 2009. pdf abstract.

• An Overview of Info-Gap Theory for Design and Strategic Planning Under Severe Uncertainty, Iltam, Herzlya. 2 June 2009. In Hebrew.

• Six Lectures on Info-Gap Theory: Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty, University of Franche-Comte, Besancon, France, October, November, 2008. pdf abstract.

• Robust-Satisficing in Engineering Design, ASME Engineering Systems Design Analysis Conference (ESDA 2008), Haifa, Israel, July 7-9, 2008. pdf abstract.

• Info-Gap Economics: An Overview, Bank of England Research Forum: Risk and Uncertainty in Monetary Policy, London, 9-11 June 2008.

• Survival under Uncertainty: Is Optimization Really a Successful Strategy, The Prof. Yuval Neeman Symposium on Science, Technology and Security, University of Tel Aviv, 29 May 2008.

• Info-Gap Modelling: Why More is Less, Non-deterministic Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering, Leuven, March 31 - April 2, 2008. pdf abstract.

• Can We Augment the Probability-vs.-Severity Risk Matrix? NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Resilience in Crisis, Belgrade, Serbia, November 28-December 2, 2007. pdf abstract.

• Info-Gap Methods for Decision Support, Keynote address, Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis, Hobart, Australia, 21 August 2007. pdf abstract.

• Info-gap theory for strategic planning under severe uncertainty, Workshop on Uncertainty and Surveillance, Hobart, Australia, 12 August 2007.

• 1-Day Workshop on Info-Gap Theory and Its Applications in Biological Conservation, 2 August 2007, University of Melbourne.

• Why We Design to Spec: Info-Gap Explanation for Satisficing Design Requirements, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Technion, 2 July 2007. pdf abstract.

• Coleman-Cohen Distinguished Lectures:
  • Parameter Estimation and Model-Based Decisions under Uncertainty: An Info-Gap Perspective, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne, U.K., 9 July 2007. pdf abstract.

  • Why More is Less: Info-Gap Explanation for Robust-Satisficing Behavior, Institute for Advanced Study, Durham University, U.K., 12 July 2007. pdf abstract.

  • Why We Design to Spec: Info-Gap Explanation for Satisficing Design Requirements, Workshop on Uncertainty Modelling, Durham University, U.K., 13 July 2007. pdf abstract.

  • From Technological Design to Quantum Uncertainty: Info-Gaps and Indeterminism, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Sheffield, U.K., 16 July 2007. pdf abstract.

  • From Technological Design to Quantum Uncertainty: Info-Gaps and Indeterminism, University of Bristol, U.K., 19 July 2007. pdf abstract.

• Policy Evaluation Under Uncertainty: The Info-Gap Robustness Strategy, NATO Advanced Research Workshop on "Resilience to crises: Putting risk science and information technology to work," Prague, 10-12 March 2007.

• Info-Gap economics: Knightian uncertainty, modelling and monetary policy, Research Dept., Central Bank of The Netherlands, March 2007. pdf abstract.

• Info-Gap economics: Knightian uncertainty, modelling and financial risk management, Warwick Business School, University of Warwick, 28 February 2007. pdf abstract.

• Allocating Security Expenditures under Knightian Uncertainty: an Info-Gap Approach, Michael Ben-Gad, Yakov Ben-Haim and Dan Peled, Economics of National Security, Samuel Neaman Institute, 14 December 2006, Herzlia, Israel.

• Info-Gap Theory: Clinical Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty, with Dr. Cliff Dacso. Methodist Hospital Research Institute, Houston, Texas, 14 September 2006.

• Info-Gap Theory: Modelling and Managing Severe Uncertainty, University of Houston, 11 September 2006.

• Estimating an uncertain probability distribution, International Workshop on Soft Methods in Probability and Statistics, SMPS 2006, Bristol, UK, 5-7 September 2006.

• Info-Gap Forecasting and the Advantage of Sub-Optimal Models, Mathematics and Statistics of Complex Systems (MASCOS), University of Melbourne, Australia, 14 July 2006. pdf abstract. MASCOS seminar website.

• How to Evaluate and Manage Risk When We Don't Know Probabilities, Plenary lecture, Conference of the Australian and New Zealand Chapters of the Society for Risk Analysis, Melbourne, Australia, 17-19 July 2006. pdf abstract.

• Info-Gap Theory and Applications in Biological Conservation and Resource Management, Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARE), Canberra, 20 July 2006.

• Info-Gap economics: Knightian uncertainty, modelling and policy, Faculty of Economics & Commerce, The University of Melbourne, 24 July 2006. pdf abstract.

• Intuitive Info-Gap Theory and Values at Risk, MASCOS / AMSI Breakfast on Risk: Managing Financial Risks with Uncertainty, Sponsored by The Australian Research Council & the NSW Department of State and Regional Development, 25 July 2006, Sydney, Australia. Description.

• Robust Monetary Policy Under Knightian Uncertainty, Farooq Akram, Yakov Ben-Haim, Oyvind Eitrheim and Ragnar Nymoem, Oslo Workshop on Monetary Policy, Norwegian School of Management, 8 June 2006.

• Fault Detection with Uncertain Priors, 47th AIAA Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials (SDM) Conference, Newport, Rhode Island, 1-4 May 2006. pdf short paper.

• Ellsberg, Foraging and Forecasting: The Advantage of Sub-Optimal Models, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Technion, 27.3.2006. pdf file.

• Info-gap economics: Knightian uncertainty, modelling and policy, Central Bank of Norway (Norges Bank), Oslo, 24 October 2005.

• Info-gap theory for engineering analysis and design, Workshop on Info-Gap Analysis of Engineering Systems, University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne, U.K., 29-30 September 2005. pdf file.

• The fallacy of best-model design: Info-gap analysis of epistemic uncertainty in engineering, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Sheffield, U.K., 23 September 2005. pdf file.

• The fallacy of best-model design: Info-gap analysis of complex dynamics, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol, U.K., 20 September 2005. pdf file.

• Info-gap analysis of preparedness and response to bio-terrorism, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, 15 September 2005. pdf file

• Why the best engineers should study humanities, Penn State Great Valley, 13 September 2005. pdf file

• 'Good' is Better than 'Best': Strategic Decisions With Uncertain Scientific Models, Research Institute, Penn State Great Valley, 12 September 2005. pdf file

• Clinical Decision Making Under Conditions of Severe Uncertainty, The Methodist Hospital, Houston Texas, 8 September 2005. pdf file

• To Satisfice, Windfall or Maximize? That is the Question, European Economic Association 20th Annual Congress, Amsterdam, 24-27 August 2005.

• Info-Gap Robust-Satisficing Monetary Policy: Modelling and Managing Ignorance, International Conference on Policy Modeling, Ecomod 2005, Istanbul, 29 June-1 July, 2005.

• Panel on prevention of risk of terrorist attacks, International Conference on Structural Safety and Reliability, ICOSSAR, Rome, 19-22 June 2005.

• Info-gap decision theory for nature-reserve selection, Specialist's Workshop on Eco-System Management of Madagascar, University of Helsinki, 20-23 May 2005.

• Model-Based Decisions Under Severe Uncertainty, Mathematics and Statistics of Complex Systems (MASCOS), University of Melbourne, Australia, 25 February 2005. .pdf file

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Structures, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne, U.K., 16 December 2004. .pdf file

• Info-gap reliability of structures based on erroneous models and noisy data, Pseudospectra and Structural Dynamics, University of Bristol, U.K., 15 December 2004.

• Design and Evaluation of Measurements With Info-Gap Uncertainty, Israel-Italy Bi-National Conference on Measurements and Uncertainty Evaluation in Coordinate Measuring Machine (CMM) and Scanners and their Implication on Design and Reverse Engineering, 29-30 November 2004. Technion. .pdf file

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Structures, Laboratory of Applied Mechanics, University of Franche-Comte, Besancon, France. September 2004. .pdf file

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Structures. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering, Technion, 19 April 2004. Room 641, Lady Davis Building. Abstract: .pdf file

• Info-gaps and Equity Premia, Research Department, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 29 March 2004. Working paper. .pdf file

• Model Estimation and Forecasting with Info-Gap Decision Theory. Workshop on Environmental Monitoring, National Center for Environmental Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS), Santa Barbara. 21-26 March 2004.

• Info-Gap Theory For Environmental Monitoring. Workshop on Environmental Monitoring, National Center for Environmental Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS), Santa Barbara. 21-26 March 2004.

• An Info-gap Explanation of the Equity Premium Puzzle, Department of Economics, University of Haifa, 14:15-15:30, 4 March 2004. Rabin Building, room 7052. Working paper. .pdf file

• Info-gap Decision Theory: Why Ecologists Should Care, Department of Botany, University of Melbourne, Australia. 2 September 2003.

• Info-gap Decision Theory for Design and Planning, Department of Architecture, University of Tokyo, 22 July 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• The Micro-economics of Information-gaps, Department of Economics, University of Tokyo, 15 July 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Info-gap Decision Theory for Modelling and Managing Uncertain Dynamic Systems, Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences, Yokohama National University, 9 July 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Info-gap Decision Theory for Design and Planning, Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, 7 July 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Lectures on Info-gap Decision Theory at Los Alamos National Laboratory:
  • Info-gap Decision Theory for Design and Planning, Uncertainty Quantification Group, 5 June 2003. Abstract: pdf.

  • Modelling a System Which We Don't Understand, Summer Program in Mathematical Modelling, 9 June 2003. Abstract: pdf.

  • Info-gap Reliability of Dynamic Systems, Summer School on Dynamical Systems, 12 June 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Home Bias in Financial Markets: Robust Satisficing with Info-Gaps, with Karsten Jeske, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, 2 May 2003.

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Structures. Civil Engineering Department, University of Waterloo, 15:30, Monday, 28 April 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Info-gap Decision Theory for Design and Planning. Or: Why `Good' is Preferable to `Best'. Systems Design Engineering Department, University of Waterloo, Friday, 25 April 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Safety and Uncertainty Assessment: The Info-gap Approach, U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, MD, 2 April 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Structures. Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering, University of Notre Dame, 15:30, Tuesday, 18 March 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Info-gap Decision Theory for Design and Planning. Or: Why `Good' is Preferable to `Best'. RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA. 10:00, Friday, 21 February 2003. Abstract: Plain text. pdf.

• Info-gap Theory: Why Ecologists Should Care. National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS), University of California at Santa Barbara. 4pm, 20 February 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Structures. Aerospace Systems Design Laboratory, Georgia Institute of Technology, 13:00, Tuesday, 11 February 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• The Rationality of Information-gaps. Cognitive Science Colloquium, College of Computing, Georgia Tech. 24 January 2003. Abstract: pdf.

• Info-gap Analysis of System Identification: On the Antagonism Between Performance and Robustness. Workshop on Predictability of Complex Phenomena, DOE/MICS-NSF/DMS, Santa Fe, NM, 16-18 December 2002. Abstract: pdf.

• Info-gap Analysis of Economic Policy. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. 10 December 2002.

• Info-gap Rationality: How to Decide (When Really You Can't). Ivan Allen College Forum, Georgia Tech, 25 November 2002.

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Structures. Structural Engineering, Mechanics and Materials Group, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Tech, 19 November 2002. Abstract: Plain text. pdf.

• Info-gap Decision Theory for Design and Planning. Or: Why `Good' is Preferable to `Best'. Engineering Systems Division, MIT. 5 November 2002. Abstract: Plain text. pdf.

• What Should We Optimize? The Info-Gap Case For Sub-Optimal Models And Systems. Mechanical Engineering Colloquium, Woodruff School of Mechanical Engineering, Georgia Tech, 22 October 2002. Abstract: Plain text. pdf.

• The Micro-economics of Information-gaps. School of Economics, Ivan Allen College, Georgia Institute of Technology. 18 October 2002. Abstract: Plain text. pdf.

• Info-gap Decision Theory for Design and Planning. Or: Why `Good' is Preferable to `Best'. Systems Realization Laboratory. Woodruff School of Mechanical Engineering. Georgia Tech. 7 October 2002. Abstract: Plain text. pdf.

• Uncertainty, Probability and Information-gaps. Epistemic Uncertainty Workshop, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, 6-7 August 2002.

• Info-gap decision theory: Application to economic analysis and planning. Science, Technology and Economics Working Group, S. Neaman Institute, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology. Venue: Eitan Berglas School of Economics, Tel Aviv University, 21 March 2002.

• Common knowledge, coherent uncertainties and consensus. Centre for the Analysis of Risk and Regulation, London School of Economics, 5 March 2002.

• Info-gap reliability: A non-probabilistic theory, Dept. of Mechanical Engineering, University of Wales, Swansea, U.K. 27 February 2002.

• Info-gap decision theory: Applications in economics and management. Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, NC. 7 Sept. 2001.

• Info-gap decision theory: Decisions under severe uncertainty, Dept. of Nuclear Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC. 6 Sept. 2001.

• Info-gap reliability: A non-probabilistic theory, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, 4 Sept. 2001.

• Four lectures on Info-Gap Decision Theory:
  • Info-gap decision theory: Decisions under severe uncertainty.
  • Info-gap reliability: A non-probabilistic theory.
  • Info-gap decision theory: Applications in economics and management.
  • Value judgments and analogical reasoning in engineering.
  Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, USA, 29-31 August, 2001.

• Two lectures on Info-Gap Decision Theory:
  • Applications in Economics and Management.
  • Value judgments and analogical reasoning in engineering.
  Department of Systems Design Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. 4 July 2001.

• Info-Gap Decision Theory: Applications in Economics and Management. Department of Operational Research, London School of Economics, 13 June 2001.

• Info-Gap Decision Theory: Applications in Economics and Management. Department of Industrial Engineering, Tel Aviv University, 15 May 2001.

• Why the best engineers should study humanities. Forum for the study of teaching at the Technion. 25 March 2001. Abstract: pdf file.

• Robust non-probabilistic reliability in monitoring. University of Hannover, Germany. October 2000.

• Information-gap uncertainty and technological decision-making. Laboratory of Applied Mechanics, University of Franche-Comte, Besancon, France. February 2000.

• Value judgments and analogical reasoning in engineering. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering. Technion. January 2000.

• Information-gap uncertainty and technological decision-making. Center for Rationality and Interactive Decision Theory, Hebrew University, Jerusalem. December 1999.

• Value of information in engineering design. Euromech 401 Workshop on inverse methods in structural dynamics. University of Liverpool. September, 1999.

• Robust reliability of a dynamically loaded beam on an uncertain foundation. 7th Intl. Conference on Civil and Structural Engineering Computing. Oxford University. September 1999.

• Robust reliability of structures with severely uncertain loads. Eurodyn '99, 7-10 June 1999, Prague.

• The value of knowledge in engineering analysis and design. Laboratory of Solid Mechanics, Ecole Polytechnique, Paris. 25 February 1999.

• Economic implications of information-gap uncertainty. Seminar on Risk, Uncertainty and Decision, University of Paris-I. 1 March 1999.

• Robust reliability of structures with severely uncertain loads. AIAA SDM Conference, 14 April 1999.

• The value of knowledge in engineering analysis and design. Faculty of Aerospace and Ocean Engineering. 16 April 1999. Virginia Polytechnic Institute, Blacksburg, VA.

• The value of knowledge in engineering analysis and design. Faculty of Mechanical Engineering. Time: 14:30. Date: 11 January 1999. Lady Davis Building, Room 430. Technion. Haifa, Israel.

• The value of knowledge in engineering analysis and design. Faculty of Engineering. Tel Aviv University. Time: 14:00. Date: 18 January 1999. Wolfson Building, Room 232. Tel Aviv. Israel.

• Economic implications of information-gap uncertainty. Joint seminar in Economics, Business Administration and Mathematics. Tel Aviv University. Time: 16:00. Date: 19 January 1999. Recanati Building, Room 430. Tel Aviv. Israel.

• Robust reliability in structural monitoring and fault diagnosis. Institute for Construction, Technical University of Braunschweig, Braunschweig, Germany. November 1998.

• Three lectures on strategic decisions with uncertainty. Department of Systems Design Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. July 1998.

• Uncertainty in the Age of Information: Axioms and Implications of Non-Probabilistic Uncertainty in Engineering, Economics and Management. Edelstein Center for History and Philosophy of Science, Medicine and Technology, Hebrew University of Jerusalem. 27 May 1998.

• Robust rationality and decisions under uncertainty in economics. Seminar Series in Game Theory, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Technion. 4 June 1998.

• Self-organizing systems with uncertainty: An economic model. Workshop on Modelling and Reality. Clausthal-Zellerfeld, Germany. 27-30 July 1998.

• Robust reliability of structures: Implications for design and regulation. National Institute for Building Research, Technion, 3 May 1998.

• Intuitions of uncertainty: Models and implications for structural reliability and regulation. U.S. National Institute for Standards and Technology (NIST). Gaithersburg, Maryland, USA. 13 February 1998.

• Robust rationality and decisions under uncertainty in economics and management. Department of Management Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. 9 February 1998.

• Reliability of mathematical models in mechanical decisions: Survey. Invited talk at the International Modal Analysis Conference, February 2-5, 1998.

• Decisions From Uncertain Evidence. Seminar Series in Statistics, Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Technion. 16 November 1997.

• Robust Reliability of Mechanical Systems, Department of Systems Design Engineering and Division of Solid Mechanics, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. 14 August 1997.

• Decisions From Uncertain Evidence, Department of Systems Design Engineering and Division of Solid Mechanics, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada. 11 August 1997.

• Robust Reliability of Mechanical Systems and Structures, George W. Woodruff School of Mechanical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia. 23 July 1997.

• Models of Uncertainty: Intuitions, Axioms and Inference Schemes, Laboratory of Applied Mechanics, University of Franche-Comte, Besancon, France. 2 April 1997.

• Robust Reliability of Mechanical Systems. Design and Technology Development Division, Israel Electric Corporation, Haifa, Israel. 18 February 1997.

• Reliability of Mathematical Models in Mechanical Decision Processes, Final Seminar of the Research Group on "Reliability of Modelling and Computation in Applied Mechanics", University of Hannover, Germany. 26 November 1996.

• (1) Fault diagnosis in uncertain dynamical systems. (2) Selective sensitivity in system identification and model-order reduction. Department of Nuclear Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute for Science and Technology. 8 November 1996.

• Fault diagnosis in uncertain dynamical systems. Korea Advanced Energy Research Institute. 9 November 1996.

• Selective sensitivity in system identification and model order reduction. Korea Advanced Energy Research Institute. 11 November 1996.

• Reliability of model-based decisions with uncertain evidence. Korean Advanced Energy Research Institute. 12 November 1996.

• Robust Reliability in the Mechanical Systems and Structures, Laboratory of Applied Mechanics, University of Franche-Comte, Besancon, France. 20 September 1996.

• The Restless Frontier: Uncertainty and the Age of Information, Laboratory of Applied Mechanics, University of Franche-Comte, Besancon, France. 26 September 1996.

• Robust Reliability in the Mechanical Sciences, Israel Society for Quality, Israel Institution for Standards, Tel Aviv, Israel, 17 July 1996.

• The Restless Frontier: Uncertainty and the Age of Information, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Wales, Swansea, U.K., 1 July 1996.

• Robust Reliability in the Mechanical Sciences, Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Liverpool, U.K., 5 July 1996.

• Robust reliability of structures. Departement Acoustique et Mechanique Vibratoire, Electricite de France, Clamart, France. 22 September 1995.

• Robust reliability in mechanical systems. Institute for Applied Mathematics, University of Kaiserslautern, Kaiserslautern, Germany. 13 September 1995.

• Non-probabilistic analysis of reliability based on expansion of convex models, presented at the Institute for Risk Analysis and the Department of Civil Engineering, University of Waterloo, Canada. February 1995.

• Convex models of uncertainty in reliability, presented at the Curt-Risch Institute for Dynamics, Acoustics and Measurement Technology, University of Hannover, Germany. October 1994.

• Selectively sensitive identification of structures, presented at the Department of Engineering Science and Mechanics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute, Blacksburg, Virginia. February 1994.